Backing Detroit is the way to go, according to the model. The Lions cover the 6-point spread in 58% of simulations, good for an "A" grade. Detroit wins in 46% of simulations to offer value as a plus-money underdog and the Under (55) hits in 59% of simulations.

Can you deal with the 2025/2026 version of Sunderland AFC? I don’t think so. Monologues aside, Newcastle have had a wee resurgence of late, closing the points gap behind us well, but they’ll be tired from their midweek Champions League game and I’m sure they’ll have absolutely no idea about the wall of red and white which is about to hit them at 100mph.

How do you see this one playing out? Here are our staff picks for Saints vs. Panthers in Week 15, with final scores and bold predictions.

The model projects another Texans win as they continue their push to win the AFC South for the third year in a row. Houston wins outright in more than 70% of model simulations, and it also covers 53% of the time. The model does like the Over, giving Over 42.5 a 'B' grade as that side hits 62% of the time.